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Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
https://www.calcudoku.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1177
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Author:  paulv66  [ Sat Nov 09, 2019 2:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

beaker wrote:
Should one include the time zone or is it understood that if no time zone is mentioned then the default time zone is CET?


I think it would have to be CET. Anything else would be too confusing.

Author:  pnm  [ Sat Nov 09, 2019 12:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

beaker wrote:
Should one include the time zone or is it understood that if no time zone is mentioned then the default time zone is CET?


Yes, I'll assume the time zone of the server if it is left out.

Author:  beaker  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

so, if you are on the east coast of North America, and you do not specify time zone, then user will be credited with the time entered and in the EST not the CET......and if so some users may want to edit their time submitted !!

Author:  pnm  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

beaker wrote:
so, if you are on the east coast of North America, and you do not specify time zone, then user will be credited with the time entered and in the EST not the CET......and if so some users may want to edit their time submitted !!


No, without a time zone, the server's time zone is assumed (CET).

edit: but feel free to edit [lol]

& remember the deadline
pnm wrote:
Deadline for entries: ~ one week from now (so Sunday Nov. 10th, 13.00 CET)

Author:  skeeter84  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 7:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

Hey everybody, thanks for sending in your guesses as to when number 20 million will be solved! Assuming that I haven't been "disqualified" out of fairness to everyone else, my guess is Thursday, February 6, 2020 @ 02:18:37 CET. I've got a question, Patrick. Will the guessing process be like

A) The Price is Right (the winner is whoever comes the closest without going over)

or

B) Can our guesses be either before OR after the actual time (and still win, assuming the person guessing is the closest)?

Suppose, for instance, somebody thinks that puzzle 20 million will be solved at 03:00:00 on February 5th, 2020. Now suppose that puzzle 20 million was actually solved on February 5th, 2020 at 02:59:59. In scenario A, that person would "overbid" by 1 second and would subsequently be the happiest person in the whole wide world! Or, rather, the (un)happiest person in the whole wide world! [cursing] [cursing] [cursing]

Now imagine that scenario B is true, and number 20 million arrives at February 5th, 2020 at 03:00:00 CET. Suppose that 2 solvers both guess February 5th, 2020, the first at 02:59:59 and the other at 03:00:01. Both people would be 1 second away from the actual time and so they both would "win" (or "lose"). Thanks for clarifying, Patrick, and have a great day, guys.

skeeter84

Author:  pnm  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

The winner is the one who is closest (so this may be before or after).

I'm guessing no-one will be an equal distance from the right answer [mellow]

Author:  clm  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

Simply speculative in my case (no calculations done), near the deadline for guesses, my guess is Feb 03, at 01:00:00 CET.

Author:  mikas  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

I guess Feb 4, 2020, 04:40:02

mikas

Author:  paulv66  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

My guess is February 6th at 12:34:56. (Just noticed I put in an incorrect date initially).

Author:  mukund  [ Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis

Instead of the linear extrapolation as done by skeeter84, I took a quadratic of four points, i.e., 19 million, two extremes of the data of skeeter84 (thanks) and today's data and found the date of solving the 20 millionth puzzle to be 04-Mar-20 at 19:37:55. This nearly a month after some of the predictions. Only time will tell about which is right.

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