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 Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis 
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Posted on: Sat Nov 09, 2019 2:23 am




Posts: 567
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2016 10:03 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
beaker wrote:
Should one include the time zone or is it understood that if no time zone is mentioned then the default time zone is CET?


I think it would have to be CET. Anything else would be too confusing.


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Posted on: Sat Nov 09, 2019 12:35 pm




Posts: 2601
Joined: Thu May 12, 2011 11:58 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
beaker wrote:
Should one include the time zone or is it understood that if no time zone is mentioned then the default time zone is CET?


Yes, I'll assume the time zone of the server if it is left out.


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:26 am




Posts: 675
Location: Ladysmith, BC, Canada
Joined: Fri May 13, 2011 1:37 am
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
so, if you are on the east coast of North America, and you do not specify time zone, then user will be credited with the time entered and in the EST not the CET......and if so some users may want to edit their time submitted !!


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:40 am




Posts: 2601
Joined: Thu May 12, 2011 11:58 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
beaker wrote:
so, if you are on the east coast of North America, and you do not specify time zone, then user will be credited with the time entered and in the EST not the CET......and if so some users may want to edit their time submitted !!


No, without a time zone, the server's time zone is assumed (CET).

edit: but feel free to edit [lol]

& remember the deadline
pnm wrote:
Deadline for entries: ~ one week from now (so Sunday Nov. 10th, 13.00 CET)


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 7:44 am




Posts: 62
Joined: Tue Apr 24, 2012 7:47 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
Hey everybody, thanks for sending in your guesses as to when number 20 million will be solved! Assuming that I haven't been "disqualified" out of fairness to everyone else, my guess is Thursday, February 6, 2020 @ 02:18:37 CET. I've got a question, Patrick. Will the guessing process be like

A) The Price is Right (the winner is whoever comes the closest without going over)

or

B) Can our guesses be either before OR after the actual time (and still win, assuming the person guessing is the closest)?

Suppose, for instance, somebody thinks that puzzle 20 million will be solved at 03:00:00 on February 5th, 2020. Now suppose that puzzle 20 million was actually solved on February 5th, 2020 at 02:59:59. In scenario A, that person would "overbid" by 1 second and would subsequently be the happiest person in the whole wide world! Or, rather, the (un)happiest person in the whole wide world! [cursing] [cursing] [cursing]

Now imagine that scenario B is true, and number 20 million arrives at February 5th, 2020 at 03:00:00 CET. Suppose that 2 solvers both guess February 5th, 2020, the first at 02:59:59 and the other at 03:00:01. Both people would be 1 second away from the actual time and so they both would "win" (or "lose"). Thanks for clarifying, Patrick, and have a great day, guys.

skeeter84


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 11:42 am




Posts: 2601
Joined: Thu May 12, 2011 11:58 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
The winner is the one who is closest (so this may be before or after).

I'm guessing no-one will be an equal distance from the right answer [mellow]


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:15 pm




Posts: 755
Joined: Fri May 13, 2011 6:51 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
Simply speculative in my case (no calculations done), near the deadline for guesses, my guess is Feb 03, at 01:00:00 CET.


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:19 pm




Posts: 3
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:46 am
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
I guess Feb 4, 2020, 04:40:02

mikas


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 12:34 pm




Posts: 567
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Joined: Tue Mar 01, 2016 10:03 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
My guess is February 6th at 12:34:56. (Just noticed I put in an incorrect date initially).


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Posted on: Sun Nov 10, 2019 1:23 pm




Posts: 7
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2013 12:19 pm
Post Re: Calcudoku.org 20 Million Solved Puzzles Analysis
Instead of the linear extrapolation as done by skeeter84, I took a quadratic of four points, i.e., 19 million, two extremes of the data of skeeter84 (thanks) and today's data and found the date of solving the 20 millionth puzzle to be 04-Mar-20 at 19:37:55. This nearly a month after some of the predictions. Only time will tell about which is right.


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